Who is going to be president of the United States in the 2024 election and why?
Who will win the 2024 US presidential election is still uncertain, as the election is highly competitive and the outcome hinges on a few key swing states. Current Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have nearly equal support, according to ongoing polls.
Major Factors Affecting Elections:
Poll Results: The gap between Harris and Trump in various recent polls is narrow, creating major volatility in the election results. Support is nearly even, especially in key swing states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Key Issues: The economy, immigration policy, women's abortion rights, and foreign policy are key issues in this election. Harris generally gets more support on women's rights and the welfare of the middle class, while Trump holds stronger positions on the economy and immigration.
Voter Profile: Trump generally gains support among male, uneducated, and white voters, while Harris gains support among women, educated, and independent voters. This is why the votes of these groups have become so important.
Negative Campaigning: Both candidates are campaigning heavily in swing states. However, negative campaigns have seen fluctuations in the popularity of candidates, which can influence voters' decisions at the last moment.
Prediction:
According to election experts, the election will be very tough and Trump will probably have a slight lead, as some polls show him slightly ahead. Still, Harris is also in the running and the final outcome of the election will depend on voter turnout and swing state results.
Latest decision:
Judging by the latest opinion polls and preliminary data, it is still far from certain who will be elected president, as the final outcome depends on voter turnout and swing state voter decisions.
Sources: New York Post, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal
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